Forecast: Hospital Discharges for Mental and Behavioural Disorders Cases in Türkiye (Turkey)

The data on hospital discharges for mental and behavioral disorders in Türkiye between 2013 and 2023 showcase a consistent decline, with the year-on-year variations indicating periodic fluctuations. Specifically, starting from 222.5 units per hundred thousand persons in 2013, the values have shown an overall decreasing trend, standing at 176.2 units per hundred thousand persons in 2023. The decline from 2013 to 2023 varied each year, with a notable decrease of 17.71% from 2013 to 2014 and a general pattern of gradual decreases with few minor increases. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the past five years has averaged around -1.4%.

From 2024 onwards, the forecasted data predict a continued decline in hospital discharges, with values expected to reduce to 162.3 units per hundred thousand persons by 2028. The forecasted five-year CAGR is -1.3%, translating to an overall reduction of approximately 6.35% from 2024 to 2028.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Potential influences of healthcare policy changes aimed at improving mental health services and community support systems.
  • The impact of socio-economic factors and public health initiatives on the prevalence and treatment of mental and behavioral disorders.
  • Technological advancements in telehealth and mental health care that might affect hospital discharge rates.

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