Forecast: Total Number of Scientific Publications in Molecular Biology in Indonesia

From 2013 to 2023, the number of scientific publications in molecular biology in Indonesia has shown impressive growth. Starting from just 5 publications in 2013, the number of publications grew consistently year-on-year, reaching 324.88 publications in 2023. Notably, between 2016 and 2017, the year-on-year growth rate was an astounding 241.74%, reflecting a sharp rise in research output. The CAGR over the last five years stood at 28.65%, underlining a strong upward trend in the volume of publications.

Looking forward, the forecasted data from 2024 to 2028 suggests continued growth, albeit at a slower pace compared to past years. The expected CAGR for the next five years is projected to be 7.55%, with total publications rising to 526.09 by 2028. This indicates a solid but stabilizing rate of increase, signifying a maturing research environment.

Future trends to watch for include potential shifts in research funding, international collaborations, and policy changes that could influence research outputs. Additionally, advancements in technology and infrastructure may further boost publication numbers. Monitoring these factors will be crucial to understanding the evolving landscape of molecular biology research in Indonesia.

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