The historical data shows steady growth in arable land and permanent crops in Nigeria from 2013 to 2023, increasing from 425.34 to 437.27 thousand square kilometers. The year-on-year growth has generally been positive, with a noticeable spike in 2019 at 1.05%. The five-year CAGR up to 2023 is 0.33%, indicating a modest but consistent annual increase. The forecast for the next five years projects a continued, albeit slower, increase with a five-year CAGR of 0.20%, culminating in 442.74 thousand square kilometers by 2028.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of climate change, technological advancements in agriculture, and policy shifts aimed at increasing agricultural productivity. These factors could influence the rate of growth and the sustainability of arable land expansion in Nigeria.
