In 2023, Japan's cherry production reached 16.11 thousand metric tons. For the years 2024 through 2028, production forecasts show a gradual decline: 15.94 thousand metric tons in 2024, 15.77 in 2025, 15.6 in 2026, 15.43 in 2027, and 15.26 in 2028. The year-on-year percentage variations indicate small but consistent decreases. Specifically, from 2023 to 2024, there's a decline of approximately 1.05%, followed by consecutive annual decreases of about 1.07%, 1.08%, 1.09%, and 1.1% respectively until 2028. This results in an average annual decline (CAGR) of about 1.08% over the five-year period stretching from 2024 to 2028.
Future trends to watch for include climate change impacts, potential advancements in agricultural technology to improve yield, and shifts in domestic and international demand for Japanese cherries, all of which may influence production volumes and market dynamics in the coming years.
