Forecast: Municipal Waste Disposed to Landfill in Canada

The forecasted municipal waste disposed of to landfill in Canada shows a gradual decline from 70.5 million tons in 2024 to 69.65 million tons by 2028. This represents a year-on-year decrease of approximately 0.31% in 2025, 0.3% in 2026, 0.3% in 2027, and 0.3% in 2028. Comparatively, this forecast continues the trend observed over the previous two years, where waste disposal numbers have incrementally decreased.

The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over this 5-year forecasted period is projected to be slightly negative, suggesting an average annual decline in landfill waste volumes.

Future trends to watch for include advancements in waste management technologies, increased recycling and composting rates, stricter environmental regulations, and public policies promoting waste reduction that may further accelerate this downward trend in municipal waste disposed of to landfill.

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