In 2023, Italy's natural gas production stood at 133.36 thousand Terajoules. The forecasts indicate a substantial decline over the next five years, with production dropping from 118.18 thousand Terajoules in 2024 to 58.36 thousand Terajoules in 2028. This represents a year-on-year decline of approximately 12.9% from 2024 to 2025, 14.6% from 2025 to 2026, 17% from 2026 to 2027, and 20.2% from 2027 to 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for this period is predicted to be -15.2%.

Future trends to watch for include:

Potential policy shifts impacting production capabilities.
Developments in renewable energy that might further influence natural gas demand.
Technological advances that could alter the cost structures and efficiency of natural gas extraction.
Geopolitical factors impacting Italy's energy security and supply chain dynamics.