The share of US neurology publications in the world's top 10% most-cited category is on a declining trajectory from 2024 through 2028. In 2023, this figure stood at approximately 12.19%. Between 2024 and 2025, the proportion is forecasted to decrease by approximately 1.92%, followed by a similar reduction trend towards a 1.93% decline each subsequent year.

This consistent downtrend yields a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately -2.00% over the forecasted five-year period. The decline indicates heightened global competition and potential shifts in research focus or funding priorities.

Future Trends to Watch:

Increasing impact of open-access publications in broadening research visibility.
Potential rise in collaborative international research efforts altering citation dynamics.
Advancements in AI and computational technologies potentially enabling new areas of research within neurology.