Forecast: Output of Middle-season Rice and Single-Cropping Late Rice in China

The output of middle-season rice and single-cropping late rice in China is expected to grow steadily from 2024 to 2028. In 2023, the actual output was 16.25 ten million metric tons. Year-on-year growth is approximately 1.27% from 2024 to 2025, followed by consistent growth rates around 1.26% to 1.28% annually through 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five years from 2024 to 2028 is projected at around 1.26%.

Future trends to monitor include:

  • Potential impacts of climate change on crop yields.
  • Technological advancements in agriculture improving productivity.
  • Changes in domestic and global demand affecting rice production patterns.
  • Government policies and subsidies influencing rice farming practices.

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