Forecast: Share of Scientific Publications Among the World's 10% Top-Cited Publications in Pharmaceutical Science in Germany

In 2023, Germany's share of pharmaceutical science publications among the world's top 10% cited was a baseline reference point. Forecasted data for 2024-2028 shows a declining trend: 7.6 in 2024, dropping to 6.49 by 2028. This indicates a negative year-on-year variation, with a diminishing presence of German publications in high-impact categories. The five-year CAGR further underscores this trend, averaging a consistent decline annually.

Future trends to watch for include potential policy shifts in research funding, international collaboration opportunities, and technological innovations that may reverse or mitigate this downturn, thereby boosting Germany’s stature in pharmaceutical research.

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