The forecast for goods transported by railway in France indicates a declining trend from 2024 to 2028. In 2023, the volume stood at 18.5 billion tonne-kilometers. By 2024, it is forecasted to decline to 18.19 billion tonne-kilometers, representing a year-on-year decrease of 1.67%. Subsequently, decreases are projected year-on-year: 2025 will see a 2.03% reduction, 2026 a 2.02% decrease, and 2027 a 2.06% drop, culminating in a 2.11% decline by 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over these five years indicates an average annual decrease of 1.97%.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of technological advancements in logistics, environmental regulations pushing for greener transport methods, and potential shifts towards multimodal transport solutions. Monitoring these factors may provide insights into long-term shifts in railway freight volumes.