Forecast: Solar Photovoltaic Electricity Production Capacities in Malta

Malta’s solar photovoltaic (PV) electricity production capacity has shown steady growth from 2013 through 2023, reaching 247.67 MW in 2023. The initial years saw explosive growth with year-on-year increases of 81.53% in 2013 and 91.58% in 2014. From 2015 onwards, growth moderated significantly, displaying average rates more typical for a maturing market. The pace of increase over the last two years was 10.5% in 2022 and 8.99% in 2023, showing a noticeable decline from the earlier years.

Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) for the past five years stands at 13.43%, down from 20.23% in the preceding five-year period, indicating a deceleration trend. Projections for the next five years show a continued deceleration, with a forecast CAGR of 5.38%, and an overall growth rate of 29.96% by 2028.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Government policies and incentives to further support renewable energy.
  • Technological advancements that might reduce costs and increase efficiency.
  • Greater adoption of smart grid solutions to better integrate PV into the energy matrix.
  • The impact of international climate agreements on local energy policies.

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