Analyzing the data on scientific publications in gastroenterology in the US, there was an overall positive upward trend from 2013 to 2023. The total number of publications in 2023 stood at 2.2 thousand. Year-on-year variations and CAGR reveal fluctuations, with notable increases in 2014, 2019, and 2020, and slight decreases in 2017, 2018, and 2022. Over the last two years, the year-on-year percentage change was -1.89% in 2022 and 1.7% in 2023, while the latest five-year CAGR from 2018 to 2023 was 2.75%.
Looking forward, from 2024 through 2028, the total number of publications is forecast to continue increasing, reaching 2.38 thousand by 2028. The forecasted five-year CAGR is 1.24%, indicating a steadier growth rate compared to previous years.
Future trends to watch for include emerging research areas within gastroenterology, interdisciplinary studies combining gastroenterology with other fields such as genetics and immunology, and potential impacts of funding shifts or policy changes on publication volumes.