Forecast: Share of Scientific Publications Among the World's 10% Top-Cited Publications in Chemical Health and Safety in the UK

The share of UK scientific publications in the top 10% cited within the domain of Chemical Health and Safety is anticipated to decline over the next five years. Starting at 10.9% in 2024, this figure is expected to decrease to 7.04% by 2028. This forecasted trend reflects a notable year-on-year decrease: 9.08% from 2024 to 2025, 9.88% from 2025 to 2026, 10.64% from 2026 to 2027, and 11.81% from 2027 to 2028. The five-year Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) indicates a shrinking influence in top-cited scientific publications during this period.

Future trends to watch include:

  • UK research policy shifts and funding adjustments.
  • Innovations and breakthroughs in Chemical Health and Safety.
  • International collaborations and their impact on citation metrics.

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