The forecast for Italy's gas oil and diesel oil transformation output, excluding biofuel, indicates a gradual decline from 31.76 million tonnes in 2024 to 31.2 million tonnes by 2028. This shows a consistent year-on-year decrease of approximately 0.44% annually. Compared to 2023, where the output stood at 31.88 million tonnes, the trend reflects a slight contraction of about 0.38% per year over the two-year span. Looking at the projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR), the average yearly decline is roughly 0.4% over the five-year period.

Future trends to watch include:

Potential policy changes in environmental regulations that might impact fossil fuel demand.
The transition towards renewable energy sources and its acceleration over the coming years.
Market adaptation to technological advancements in fuel efficiency and alternative fuels.