The data forecasts a consistent decline in the number of new registrations of diesel lorries up to 3500 kg in France from 2024 to 2028. Starting with 307.27 thousand registrations in 2024, the figure decreases modestly each year, reaching 304.0 thousand by 2028. This represents a gradual reduction in registrations, reflecting a year-on-year average decrease of about 0.91% over the five-year period. It marks a shift from the pattern observed in 2023, for which the registration numbers are not provided but can be inferred from trends to have been higher, considering the declining trajectory.

Future trends to observe include:

Increasing adoption of alternative fuel vehicles as environmental regulations tighten.
Technological advancements in electric and hybrid vehicle segments potentially accelerating the decline of diesel lorry registrations.
Impact of economic factors such as fuel prices and subsidies on consumer preferences.