The total surmullet production for human consumption in the UK shows a consistent downward trend from 2024 to 2028, with forecasted figures indicating a decline each year. Comparing year-on-year variations, there are noticeable reductions: 10.1% between 2024 and 2025, 11% between 2025 and 2026, 12.1% between 2026 and 2027, and 13.5% from 2027 to 2028. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the five-year period indicates an average annual decrease of approximately 11.5%. In 2023, actual production was recorded at a volume of 84.9 metric tons.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Increasing sustainable fishing practices could impact future production levels.
- Regulatory changes addressing overfishing might accelerate or mitigate declines.
- Consumer preferences shifting towards sustainable seafood options could influence demand significantly.
