As of 2023, the consumption of ferrous scrap in the US was slightly over 53.4 million metric tons. The forecast from 2024 to 2028 suggests a gradual decline in consumption year-on-year: from 53.4 million metric tons in 2024 down to 51.33 million metric tons in 2028. This represents a consistent decrease of about 1% annually. Over the five-year period, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) shows a negative trend of slightly over 1%, indicating a steady decline in forecasted consumption.
Future trends to monitor include:
- Rising environmental regulations and their impact on recycling policies.
- The influence of global market demand on domestic consumption.
- Technological advancements in metal recycling and their potential to boost efficiency.
- Changes in the steel manufacturing industry, especially shifts towards greener production methods.