Forecast: Tax Expenditure on End-Use Electricity for Residential in the US

In 2023, the United States saw annual tax expenditures on end-use electricity for residential consumers amount to $907 million. From 2024 onwards, forecasts predict a steady annual increase: 915.68 million in 2024, up to 949.71 million by 2028. Year-on-year growth rates show modest rises of approximately 1% annually. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for the period from 2023 to 2028 holds at a stable 0.88%, indicating consistent but slow growth in tax expenditures related to residential electricity consumption.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Potential policy changes affecting energy taxes.
  • Technological advancements in energy efficiency reducing consumption needs.
  • Shifts in residential energy demand based on climate variations or population growth.
  • The influence of renewable energy adaptations on tax structures.

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