In 2023, the modal share of trains, motor coaches, buses, and trolley buses in France stood at an estimated value around 16.5. In 2024, it is forecasted to marginally increase to 16.7, maintaining this level in 2025. In 2026, a slight rise is anticipated to 16.8, remaining stable through 2027 and 2028. The year-on-year growth from 2023 to 2024 is modest, with a slight uptick predicted in subsequent years, suggesting gradual improvement. The compounded annual growth rate over the five-year period is minimal, reflecting a stable trend.

Future trends to watch for include:

Increased focus on sustainable public transport solutions may impact modal share positively.
Technological advancements in transportation, such as electric buses, could alter growth dynamics.
Shifts in government policy and investment in infrastructure may further influence these projections.