Hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) emissions in Poland have shown a general downward trend over the past decade, with a notable drop from the actual value of 5.97 Trillion Grams of CO2 Equivalent in 2013 to 4.57 in 2023. Year-on-year variations have varied significantly, with fluctuations such as an 8.97% increase in 2014 followed by a 14.12% decrease in 2015. The average annual variation in recent years has become more stable, demonstrating a gradual decline. Specifically, the past two years witnessed decreases of 3.87% and 3.67%, and the compound average growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years was -3.91%.
Future HFCs emissions are forecasted to continue their decline, dropping from 4.39 in 2024 to 3.73 Trillion Grams of CO2 Equivalent by 2028. The five-year CAGR for this period is projected at -3.24%, indicating a continued reduction trend. The forecasted five-year growth rate stands at -15.18%, underlining the ongoing efforts to reduce HFC emissions.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of regulatory changes, technical innovations in refrigeration and air conditioning sectors, and adoption rates of climate-friendly alternatives to HFCs. Monitoring these factors will be crucial in assessing whether Poland can meet its long-term environmental goals.
