The forecast for the UK’s final consumption of natural gas in the commercial and public services sector shows a steady upward trend from 2024 through 2028. In 2023, this consumption stood at 77.35 thousand gigawatt-hours, marking the baseline for these projections. Year-on-year increases are minor, indicating stable growth: 0.37% in 2025, 0.37% in 2026, 0.37% in 2027, and 0.36% in 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2028 is approximately 0.36%.
Future trends to watch for include potential impacts of regulatory shifts towards sustainability, technological advancements in energy efficiency, and geopolitical influences on gas supply chains, which may alter these forecasts.
