The share of scientific publications from the US in the world's top 10% most-cited publications related to ophthalmology is forecasted to decline from 14.04% in 2024 to 12.09% by 2028. The decreasing trend indicates a gradual reduction in the US's contribution to top-cited ophthalmology research, with a year-on-year decline of approximately 3%-4%. The 5-year CAGR reflects a negative growth rate, suggesting a consistent downward trajectory.
Looking ahead, attention should be directed towards factors contributing to this decline such as global competition, potential shifts in funding, and the emergence of new research hubs. Enhanced collaboration and strategic focus on innovative research might reverse or stabilize this trend.
