The gross production of primary vegetables and fruits in Italy is expected to decline steadily from 2024 to 2028. In 2023, the value stood at an estimated benchmark, positioning 2024's projection at a plateau before dipping annually by approximately 0.63% through 2028. This continual decline results in a compounded average growth rate (CAGR) of around -0.63% over the forecasted five-year period. This downward trend reflects shifts in agricultural productivity, potential economic changes, and climate impacts among others.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Changes in agricultural policy and subsidies impacting production costs.
- Technological advancements in farming potentially offsetting downturns.
- Climate change effects on yields and crop selection adaptation.
- Global trade dynamics affecting export demand.
- Consumer preferences shifting towards plant-based diets may influence domestic demand.