Forecast: Share of Corresponding/Leading Author in Scientific Publications in Pharmaceutical Science in Germany

The forecast for the share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific publications in pharmaceutical science in Germany shows a gradual decline from 2024 to 2028. The data indicates a decrease from 88.18% in 2024 to 87.03% in 2028. Although this decline is modest, it reflects a consistent downward trend over these years. In 2023, the share stood at approximately 88.5% based on previous trends, illustrating a persistent but slight year-on-year decrease over the forecast period. This represents an average annual decline rate, evident in the slight negative CAGR over five years.

Future trends to watch for include the impact of increasing international collaborations, which may further dilute the share of corresponding/leading authorship by German researchers. Additionally, the rise of multi-disciplinary research and funding policy shifts could further influence authorship trends in this field.