In 2023, the gross heat production from renewable municipal waste in the UK was approximately 218 Gigawatt hours. The forecast data for 2024 to 2028 indicates a steady annual increase, suggesting a growing emphasis on waste-to-energy conversion. The year-on-year growth is projected as follows: 4.3% in 2024, 4.3% in 2025, 4.0% in 2026, 3.8% in 2027, and 3.6% in 2028, indicating a slight deceleration. The five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) stands at approximately 4.0%, demonstrating a consistent upward trend in renewable municipal waste-related energy production.

Future trends to watch for include:

Technological advancements in waste processing enhancing energy yield.
Government policies promoting sustainable waste management and renewable energy generation.
Increased investment in infrastructure to support expanded capacity.
Potential shifts in waste generation volumes impacting energy outputs.