The density of adult ICU beds in Japan declined from a recent high in 2023, estimated at around 130 beds per 100,000 persons. Forecasts from 2024 predict an initial growth to 140 beds, increasing to 150 beds by 2025, and stabilizing at this level through 2028. Year-on-year growth for 2024 is approximately 7.7%, with a stabilization observed thereafter, indicating no change in the subsequent years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2028 is projected to be approximately 3.6%.
Future trends to watch include potential policy changes and healthcare infrastructure investments that could impact the demand and supply of ICU beds. Additionally, monitoring demographic shifts, such as an aging population, will be crucial in forecasting further variations in capacity requirements.
