As of 2023, the commercial vehicle registrations in France stood at approximately 344.3 thousand units. Forecasted data for 2024 shows a slight decline to 335.99 thousand units. The downward trend continues with the figures falling to 327.8 thousand units in 2025, 319.68 thousand in 2026, 311.65 thousand in 2027, and 303.7 thousand in 2028.

The year-on-year variation highlights a consistent decrease over the period. From 2024 to 2025, the decline is approximately 2.4%. Between 2025 to 2026, the registration falls by around 2.5%. The years 2026 to 2027 see a slightly smaller drop at 2.5%, and from 2027 to 2028, the reduction is about 2.6%. The CAGR indicates an average annual decline of around 2.4% over the five-year span.

Future trends to watch for:

Impact of regulatory changes focused on reducing carbon emissions.
Shifts in the logistics and transportation sector, including a possible move towards electric and hybrid commercial vehicles.
Evolving market demands and economic conditions post-2024 could influence purchasing behavior.