Forecast: Green Coffee Production in Thailand

In 2023, Thailand's green coffee production stood at 16.83 thousand metric tons. The forecasted production for 2024 is 15.08 thousand metric tons, reflecting a year-on-year decline of approximately 10.4%. For 2025, the production is expected to decrease by about 11.7% to 13.31 thousand metric tons. This downward trend continues into 2026 and 2027, with production volumes projected at 11.58 thousand and 9.88 thousand metric tons, marking annual reductions of 13% and 14.7%, respectively. By 2028, the production is anticipated to drop further to 8.21 thousand metric tons, a 16.9% decrease from the previous year. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the five-year forecast period from 2024 to 2028 is approximately -12.5%.

Future trends to watch for include the impact of climate change on coffee yields, potential shifts in farming practices, and the influence of global coffee demand on local production strategies. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for predicting longer-term changes in Thailand's green coffee industry.

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