Forecast: Arable and Permanent Cropland Agricultural Area in Turkey

The area of arable and permanent cropland in Turkey has seen a consistent decline over the past decade. In 2023, the agricultural area stood at 22.65 million hectares, having decreased gradually from 23.81 million hectares in 2013. The year-on-year variation over the last two years showed a nearly consistent reduction of approximately -0.53% annually. The five-year CAGR leading up to 2023 was about -0.46%, indicating a steady downward trend.

Looking ahead, forecasted data suggests the trend will continue at an average annual decline rate (CAGR) of approximately -0.45% up to 2028. By 2028, the agricultural area is expected to be 22.02 million hectares, marking a total reduction of about 2.21% from 2023.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Land use policy changes that may aim to stabilize or reverse the decline in agricultural area.
  • Technological advancements in agriculture that could increase the efficiency of smaller land areas.
  • Environmental and climatic factors that could further impact arable land availability.

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