The forecast for Italy's iron and steel waste imports from non-EU countries indicates a gradual decline from 294.2 thousand metric tons in 2024 to 277.08 thousand metric tons by 2028. As of 2023, the volume stood at 298.5 thousand metric tons, implying a decreasing trend. Year-over-year, there is a steady decline, with a 1.48% drop from 2024 to 2025, and a 1.58% decrease from 2025 to 2026, with the trend continuing. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) suggests an overall declining pace over the five years, with an average reduction of approximately 1.49% annually.

Future trends to watch for include:

Potential impact of global steel demand fluctuations on waste imports.
Trade regulations and environmental policies affecting import volumes.
Technological advancements in steel recycling within Italy influencing dependency on imported waste.
Opportunities for Italy to develop strategies for increased domestic waste processing capacity.