Forecast: Urban National Traffic of Buses and Coaches in Ireland

The urban national traffic of buses and coaches in Ireland showed a fluctuating trend from 2013 to 2023, with a peak in 2017 at 66.62 million vehicle-kilometers, followed by a notable dip in 2019 at 55.83 million vehicle-kilometers. By 2023, the value stood at 57.13 million vehicle-kilometers.

Year-on-year analysis reveals significant variations: a strong rise in 2014 by 8.14%, a decline in 2018 by -2.31%, and a sharp drop in 2019 by -14.21%. The last two years (2022-2023) exhibited minimal growth, with numbers at 0.41% and 0.32%, respectively. The average variation per year over the last five years (CAGR) was -2.57%.

Future trends indicate a modest growth trajectory forecasted with a 5-year CAGR of 0.12% and a cumulative growth rate of 0.61% by 2028, suggesting stabilization in urban bus and coach traffic, albeit at a slower pace.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Innovations in public transport technology and infrastructure improvements.
  • Government policies and investments in sustainable and efficient urban transport.
  • Shifts in urban population density and demographic trends.

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