In 2023, the value of direct transfer on coal for all beneficiaries or sectors in Brazil was higher than 79.68 million USD. The forecast from 2024 to 2028 shows a steady decline in direct transfers, with values dropping annually. From 2024 to 2025, the decrease is approximately 14.5%, followed by a 17% reduction from 2025 to 2026. The pattern continues with a 20.3% decrease from 2026 to 2027, and finally, a 25.4% decline from 2027 to 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2028 is -17.0%, indicating a consistent downward trend.
Future trends to watch for include potential shifts in Brazilian energy policy, increased investment in renewable energy sources, and international pressure to reduce carbon emissions, which may further decrease reliance on coal. Stakeholders should monitor these developments to anticipate changes in the energy market and investment opportunities.