In 2023, the total number of fourth-grade secondary education repeaters in France was 18.25 thousand persons. By 2024, the forecasted numbers start at 16.85 thousand, declining year-on-year to reach 11.76 thousand by 2028. This indicates a consistent downward trend in the number of repeaters with a yearly decline of approximately 8% on average. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five-year period is a decline of approximately 8.5%, indicating significant improvements in education retention and progression.

Future trends to watch for include:

Innovations in educational interventions that might further reduce repeaters.
Policy changes affecting school retention rates.
Socioeconomic factors impacting student performance and retention in secondary education.