The share of male practising physicians aged 65-74 in Japan is expected to increase from 18.52% in 2024 to 19.84% in 2028. This shows a consistent upward trend with a year-on-year increase of approximately 2% over the forecasted period. The CAGR for this period is anticipated to be around 1.74%, indicating a steady rise in the proportion of older male physicians within the medical workforce. In comparison, the percentage in 2023 stood slightly lower, emphasizing a continued dependency on experienced senior physicians.

Future trends to watch for:

The potential impact of retirement on the availability of healthcare services as a significant proportion of older physicians may exit the workforce.
Policies and incentives that may emerge to retain or replace this age group in the healthcare system.
Technological adaptations in practice that could influence the retention of elder physicians.