The forecasted motor fuel deliveries to the road sector in Japan show a slight year-on-year decrease from 2024 to 2028. Starting at 51.99 million metric tons in 2024, the values gradually decline to 51.1 million metric tons by 2028. This represents a steady but minimal drop in fuel deliveries, highlighting a gradual reduction in demand. In 2023, actual motor fuel deliveries were higher than the forecasted 2024 value, indicating a shift towards decreasing consumption. Over the last two years, the variation has shown a consistent decline, leading to an average annual decrease (CAGR) over the five-year period.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of advancing electric vehicle adoption, governmental policies aimed at reducing carbon emissions, and improvements in fuel efficiency. These factors may contribute to a continued decrease in motor fuel deliveries beyond 2028.
• 2024: 51.99 million metric tons
• 2025: 51.69 million metric tons
• 2026: 51.45 million metric tons
• 2027: 51.26 million metric tons
• 2028: 51.1 million metric tons
