In 2023, the municipal waste generated per capita in the UK was approximately 440 kilograms. The forecast indicates a downward trend from 437 kilograms per capita in 2024, declining to 420 kilograms by 2028. This represents a year-on-year decrease of around 0.9% on average over the forecasted period. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for 2024 to 2028 is approximately -0.9%, indicating a consistent decline in waste generation per capita.

Future trends to watch for:

Policy impacts from government initiatives aimed at reducing waste through recycling and reuse.
Technological advancements in waste management that could significantly alter waste generation rates.
Public awareness and behavioral changes in terms of waste segregation and reduction strategies.