Forecast: Sesame Seed Yield in Vietnam

The sesame seed yield in Vietnam has shown notable fluctuations over the past decade, starting with a yield of 7.76 thousand hectograms per hectare in 2013 and reaching 8.59 in 2023. The average yield has generally increased over the years, with some years experiencing declines such as a notable dip in 2017 and 2018. However, the increases resumed with the yield stabilizing and progressing positively from 2019 onwards. The year 2023 saw a yield of 8.59 thousand hectograms per hectare. The year-on-year variation over the last two years was 1.49% and the CAGR for the past five years stood at 3.27%. Future forecasts predict a steady rise with an expected yield of 9.18 thousand hectograms per hectare by 2028, showing a forecasted five-year CAGR of 1.06% and a growth rate of 5.39%.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Potential impacts of climate change on yield consistency.
  • Advancements in agricultural technology and practices.
  • Changes in domestic and global demand for sesame seeds.
  • Government policies and support for the sesame farming sector.

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