The forecasted share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific publications for cardiology and cardiovascular medicine in the UK shows a gradual decline from 2024 onwards. Starting at 85.01% in 2024, the figure is expected to decrease to 83.49% by 2028. This represents a year-on-year decline of approximately 0.5% to 0.6%. Meanwhile, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over this five-year period indicates a consistent declining trend as well. In 2023, prior to the forecasted figures, the share was somewhat higher, contributing to the observable downward trend.
Future trends to watch for include the broader global collaboration in research, which may decrease the share of UK authorship even further. Additionally, advancements in digital tools for collaboration could continue to reshape authorship dynamics and distribution. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for assessing future trends in scientific publication authorship.
