In 2023, the share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific publications in ophthalmology in the UK stood at approximately 85%. The forecasted data from 2024 to 2028 shows a gradual decline from 84.36% to 81.08%. Year-on-year variations indicate a consistent decrease, with an average annual drop of 0.88% over the five-year period.

Future trends to watch for include:

The increasing collaboration and multi-author publications in ophthalmology could influence the declining trend.
Potential impact of AI tools on authorship dynamics and emphasis on diverse research teams.
Policy changes encouraging international co-authorship might further affect the share of domestic corresponding authors.