The investment in inland transport infrastructure in Mexico has shown significant volatility over the past decade. After peaking in 2014 at $56.67 per inhabitant, it saw a major decline, reaching a low of $18.46 in 2020. A modest recovery followed, with a value of $27.49 in 2023.
The year-on-year variation shows initial growth of 3.82% in 2013 and a significant 18.57% in 2014. However, a series of declines ensued, including a steep 22.88% in 2017 and 32.12% in 2020. The positive turnaround started in 2021, with a major boost of 36.72% in 2022 and a further 7.44% in 2023. The five-year CAGR from 2018 to 2023 is -5.64%, reflecting the overall downturn in this period.
Looking ahead, the forecast indicates a gradual stabilization, with the value expected to consistently rise, albeit modestly, reaching $28.07 by 2028. The forecast five-year CAGR is projected at 0.32%, with a growth rate of 1.61% over the forecast period.
Future trends to watch for:
- Monitoring governmental policies and budget allocations towards inland transport infrastructure
- Assessing the impact of global economic conditions on investment capabilities
- Analyzing technological advancements and their implementation in infrastructure projects
- Evaluating the involvement of private-sector investments and public-private partnerships
