The import volume of oranges and mandarins in Indonesia is forecasted to show a decreasing trend from 86.4 thousand metric tons in 2024 to 65.1 thousand metric tons in 2028. This follows a consistent year-on-year decline: 6.4% in 2025, 6.7% in 2026, 6.9% in 2027, and 7.4% in 2028. This results in a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of -6.95% over the five-year period from 2024 to 2028, indicating a steady reduction in import volumes.
Future trends to watch for include changes in domestic production capabilities, shifts in consumer preferences towards locally grown produce, and potential trade policy adjustments that could impact import costs and volumes. Additionally, environmental factors affecting global orange and mandarin production may also influence Indonesia's import strategy.
