Forecast: Value Added of High (3-Digit Definition) R&D Intensive Activities in the US

The value added of high R&D intensive activities in the US is forecast to rise from $1.1208 trillion in 2024 to $1.2194 trillion in 2028. The year-on-year growth rates are approximately 2.27% for 2025, 2.17% for 2026, 2.09% for 2027, and 2.00% for 2028. This suggests a gradual deceleration in growth intensity. The 5-year CAGR shows an average annual growth rate of around 2.11%, indicating a steady upward trend, although modest.

Future trends to watch for include the potential impact of technological advancements, regulatory changes, and global economic conditions on R&D spending and productivity. Particular focus should be on emerging industries such as AI, biotech, and clean energy, which may significantly influence growth patterns.

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