Forecast: Palm Oil Demand in Vietnam

Vietnam's palm oil demand, expressed in volume, stood at 799 Thousand Metric Tons in 2023. From 2014 to 2023, the demand showed a fluctuating trend. A notable drop occurred in 2017 with a year-on-year decrease of 24.19%. This was followed by a significant increase in 2018 (up by 45.63%) and then fluctuations in subsequent years, including a slight reduction in 2020. The year-on-year variation over the last two years was marginal with 1.15% in 2022 and 1.01% in 2023. Over the past five years, the CAGR was slightly negative at -0.44%, implying a slight decline on average per year.

Future trends to watch for:

  • An optimistic forecast of steady growth with a 5-year forecasted CAGR of 0.86%, leading to a 4.35% growth rate by 2028.
  • Potential market drivers include economic growth, population increases, and shifts in consumer preferences towards processed foods that use palm oil.
  • Environmental and regulatory factors may impact future demand and should be closely monitored.

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