In 2023, the actual number of caesarean sections performed in Italy stood at a slightly higher level than the forecasted figure for 2024, which is expected to be 117.84 thousand procedures. Forecasts show a declining trend in the number of procedures, with an annual decrease in value until 2028, where it falls to 103.15 thousand. The year-on-year percentage variation suggests a steady decline: -3.17% in 2025, -3.24% in 2026, -3.30% in 2027, and -3.40% in 2028. The five-year CAGR indicates the overall annual average decrease rate, reflecting a consistent downward trend.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Potential changes in healthcare policies that may encourage natural births over surgical ones, influencing forecasts.
- Technological advancements in medical procedures that could alter the caesarean section landscape.
- Demographic changes, such as an aging population or shifts in birth rates, impacting the demand for caesarean sections.
- Public health initiatives promoting natural childbirth and their effects on procedure rates.
