From 2014 to 2023, the number of petrol motor coaches, buses, and trolley buses in Poland has shown a gradual decline. The value stood at 4.1 thousand in 2023, reflecting a slight decrease of approximately 0.073% year-on-year. Analysing the past decade, the most significant drops were observed in 2015 (-0.6%) and 2018 (-0.44%). The data indicates a steady downward trend with an annual average reduction (CAGR) of about 0.1% over the last five years.
A forward-looking analysis suggests a continued slight decline. The forecasted data from 2024 to 2028 predict minimal year-on-year changes with a CAGR of -0.02%, indicating a slow but consistent decrease in the number of petrol motor vehicles. This trend anticipates a reduced growth rate of around -0.12% over five years.
Future trends to watch for:
- Potential market shifts due to increased adoption of electric and hybrid buses as part of environmental sustainability initiatives.
- Government policies and subsidies promoting cleaner public transport options which could further impact the number of petrol-based vehicles.
- Improvements in public transportation infrastructure, leading to changes in vehicle requirements and numbers.
