Forecast: Tax Expenditure on All Fossil Fuels for All Beneficiaries or Sectors in Canada

The forecasted tax expenditure on fossil fuels in Canada is showing a consistent decline from $1.26 billion USD in 2024 to $0.73942 billion USD by 2028. Relative to 2023, where the expenditure stood at $1.39 billion USD, the year-on-year reductions are 10.07% in 2025, 12.11% in 2026, 12.97% in 2027, and 14.48% in 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over this period is forecasted at -13.62%, indicating a significant reduction in fossil fuel subsidies.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Potential government policy shifts towards renewable energy subsidies
  • Impact of global climate agreements on domestic tax expenditures
  • Technological advancements that could alter energy consumption patterns

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