China's meat production has exhibited notable fluctuations over the past decade. From 2013 to 2018, the production slightly increased, but the African swine fever in 2019 caused a significant decline. Although there was a partial recovery from 2021 onward, the overall growth trend has been modest, with the production standing at approximately 81.708 million metric tons in 2023. Overall, the annual compound average growth rate (CAGR) from 2019 to 2023 was -1.53%, indicating a slight decline in production over that period.
Looking ahead, forecasts suggest a gradual increase in meat production, with an estimated CAGR of 0.16% from 2024 to 2028 reaching 82.55 million metric tons by 2028. The trend indicates a slow but steady recovery and potential stabilization in meat output.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Continued impacts of animal disease outbreaks and biosecurity measures.- Shifts in consumer demand towards alternative proteins and plant-based diets.- Government policies promoting environmental sustainability and food security.- Technological advancements in livestock breeding and farming practices.
