Forecast: Municipal Waste Incineration in Canada

The municipal waste incineration in Canada has shown a steady increase from 1.24 million metric tons in 2014 to 1.32 million metric tons in 2023. The year-on-year variation generally trended upwards, although at modest rates, with a percentage change usually under 1%. Over the last two years, the annual growth rate was 0.55% and 0.53% for 2022 and 2023, respectively. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years up to 2023 was 0.48%, reflecting consistent but slow growth. The forecast suggests a continuation of this trend, with the waste volume predicted to reach 1.35 million metric tons by 2028, at a CAGR of 0.39%.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Advances in waste processing technology that could affect incineration volumes.
  • Policy changes aimed at reducing landfill waste by promoting incineration or recycling.
  • Environmental regulatory impacts and public perception of incineration's ecological footprint.

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