As of 2023, the seed-cotton yield in China stood at 53.30 thousand hectograms per hectare. The forecast shows a steady increase from 2024 through 2028, with expected growth in yield from 54.12 to 57.42 thousand hectograms per hectare. Year-on-year growth is approximately 1.57% to 1.64%, and the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for the period is anticipated to be around 1.83%.

Future trends to watch for include:

Potential impacts of climate change on yield consistency and overall production volume.
Technological advances in farming practices that may boost yield rates beyond current forecasts.
Shifts in global cotton demand affecting China’s export incentives and domestic production policies.