Forecast: Maternal Mortality Ratio (Modeled Estimates) in Egypt

The maternal mortality ratio in Egypt has shown a consistent decline over the past decade from 2013 to 2023, starting at 28 deaths per hundred thousand live births and dropping to 15 deaths per hundred thousand live births in 2023. This represents a significant overall decrease. The year-on-year variation reflects the fluctuations in the rate of decrease each year, varying from -9.68% in 2013 to 0% in 2023. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years stands at -4.62%, showcasing a steady reduction in maternal mortality.

Looking forward to the forecast period through 2028, the maternal mortality ratio is predicted to continue its downward trend, reaching 11 deaths per hundred thousand live births by 2028. The forecasted five-year CAGR is -4.71%, with an expected overall reduction of 21.43% from 2023 to 2028.

Future trends to watch for include the impact of healthcare policy changes, advancements in maternal healthcare, and accessibility improvements which could further accelerate the reduction in maternal mortality. Monitoring these factors will be crucial in assessing the accuracy of the current forecasts and identifying additional areas for intervention.

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